FOREIGN MARKET CONSULTING

Danismanlik ve Tic. Ltd. Sti.

 

Today you are receiving our latest newsletter about recent economic and political developments in Turkey.

We would like to hear your opinions about our newsletter and about any important issues that you would like to draw our attention to. In addition, we will be pleased to inform you about the services of Foreign Market Consulting.

If you know any other people that would be interested in this free service, please forward this newsletter to him/her or provide us with the e-mail address of the interested person (to newsletter@fmcon.com), so that we can include him/her in our distribution list.

Best regards,

Your FMCon Team

 

Newsletter April  2006

 Economy


Overview of monthly data

YTL-Rates

31.3. 1.5.

Change in %

YTL per Euro

1.6289  1.6586  1.8 

YTL per USD

1.3492   1.3218  -2.0 

 

 

 

 

Stock exchange index

42,941.70  43,880.43  2.2

 

 

 

 

Inflation in %

Monthly inflation

Annual inflation

 

Producer prices

1.94  4.96

 

Consumer prices

 1.34  8.83

 

(Dünya/DIE 31.3./4.5./1.5.06)

Foreign trade figures

Export

April 

Mai 2005 - April 2006

 
Export (in Billion USD) 6.4  75.4  
(Dünya, 2.5.06)
 

März

 
In Million USD 2005 2006 Increae in %
Export 6,592  6,975  5.8
Import 10,196  11,189  9.7
Deficit -3,604  -4,214  16.9
(www.die.gov.tr)

 

The export of last twelve months was able to record an increase of 9.8%, but the export performance of some basic sectors, such as textiles, went down. In April the vehicle and supplier sectors led with an export of 1.26 billion USD, followed by textiles with 1.02 billion USD. (Dünya, 29.3.2006)

Increase of consumer prices in main expense groups
The unexpectedly high increase of consumer prices in April has awakened fears that the target inflation of 5% in 2006 may not be attained. A breakdown of inflation in main expense groups is as follows:

 

Average in 12 months

Share in total expenses in %

Total

 8.11

100.00  

Food and non alcoholic beverages

 5.61

27.68 

Alcoholic beverages and tobacco

 21.51

5.62  

Clothing and shoes

  1.83

8.28  

Real estate

  10.34

16.29  

Furniture and household appliances

  5.64

6.89  

Health

  1.74

2.54  

Transportation

  12.77

10.48  

Communication

  2.28

4.55  

Entertainment and culture

  5.81

3.63  

Education

  10.45

2.41  

Hotels and restaurants

  14.34

6.74  

Other goods and services

  8.77

4.89  

(Dünya, 6.5.2006)

EU recognized Turkak for CE accreditation
With the recognition of Turkak by EU as an accredited institution, the problems in CE application which have persisted for four years should be removed. As the certification of those laboratories will be internationally accepted, Turkish exports will not have to work with foreign certification institutions to substantiate the CE mark.
(Dünya, 10.4.2006)

New investments amounting to 17.3 billion USD are expected
According to a compilation of the company Raymond James, Turkey ’s having attracted foreign investments of 9.7 billion USD in 2005 (in gross figures) should bring direct investments of up to  33.8 billion USD in 2006. 16.5 billion USD of this are agreed amounts in 2005 and the new investments below, amounting to 17.3 billion USD, should be added to it. 

Investment target

Share in %

Value in Mil USD**

Akbank*

25

3,987

Denizbank*

50

1,324

Sekerbank*

52

335

Tekstilbank*

50

156

Alternatif*

50

243

Oyakbank

50

940

Adabank

100

50

Tekel

100

1,300

Izmir Hafen

Licence

1,000

Petkim

54

530

State lottery “Milli Piyango” 

Licence

750

Seker Fabrikalari

100

600

Goltas

30

150

Gaziantep Cimento

100

128

Electricity distribution 

Licence

4,000

Iskenderun port

Licence

80

Eregli Demir Celik

20

1,200

Mey Icki

55

500

 

Total

17,273

*Current market value

** Value of foreign direct investment

(Dünya, 10.4.2006)

Social security reform encounters resistance from unions
After the passing of the law which unites three social security institutions: SSK, Bagkur and Emekli Sandigi under one roof, the reform should be completed with the draft bill by raising the employment and premium payment period from 7,000 to 9,000 days. The opposition leader Baykal considers this increase in the employment period as not complying with the realities of Turkey and the unions KESK, DISK, TMMOB have both heavily criticized the law and announced actions against it.
(Dünya, 19./20.4.2006)

Tax exemptions of free trade zones should be extended
The draft bill for the extension of tax exemptions (corporate and income tax) in free trade zones until 2019 is being discussed in parliament. Should the draft be accepted, tax exemption limited until 2008 should continue to exist until 2019.
(Dünya, 13.4.2006)

Politics

 

Expansion of strategic partnership with Athens
At the southeast Europe cooperation meeting of heads of state in Thessaloniki , the Greek and Turkish Prime Ministers met and described the cooperation both countries have achieved as a  strategic partnership. The advances in trade and the cooperation in the energy sector were emphasized. The intention is to increase the trade volume between two countries, which was 1.1 billion USD in 2005, to 5 billion USD. 
(Dünya, 5.5.06)

Rice asked Turkey not to enter Iraq
The Los Angeles Times announced that during her visit in Turkey US Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice gave to understand she would not welcome a single-handed effort of Turkey in Iraq . She did also not make any clear promise concerning a stronger US action against the PKK in Northern Iraq .  Nevertheless, she curbed the ambitions of Turkey for military cross-border actions.
(Dünya 27.4.06)

Three main arguments which should make Turkey EU member by 2014
The analyst of European Stability Initiative Institute, Verena Ringer, stated that Turkey will become an EU member by 2014 at the latest. Only an expanded Europe with Turkey could bring the necessary stability to the region, which will come from three main areas: the expansion of EU borders as far as the Caucasus and the Middle East, the attraction of an economically developed and democratic Turkey and the positive impacts of Turkey on the energy policy of EU.
(Dünya 10.4.06)

Further Topics

 

The fourteen largest enterprises in Turkey
Forbes magazine has listed the largest 2,000 publicly traded joint stock companies in the world by taking the market value, sales, earnings and assets into consideration. Among the following 14 Turkish enterprises listed there, Türkiye Is Bankasi had the highest ranking with rank 319:

Nr. 319, Turkiye Is Bankasi
Nr. 523, Sabaci Holding
Nr. 531, Akbank
Nr. 654, Koc Holding
Nr. 952, Turkiye Garanti Bankasi
Nr. 978, Turkcell
Nr. 1.049, Tupras
Nr. 1.258, Dogan Holding
Nr. 1.304, Yapi Kredi Bankasi
Nr. 1.367, Finansbank
Nr. 1.417, Erdemir
Nr. 1.657, Petrol Ofisi
Nr. 1.756, Global Yatirim
Nr. 1.812, Enka

(Dünya, 10.4.2006)

15 Turkish holdings obtained together  18% of GNP
The leading 15 industry- and trade enterprises of Turkey have obtained together 18% of GNP in 2005 and employ approximately 255,000 people:

Group/Enterprise

2005 consolidated turnover in Mil. Euro

Share in GNP 2005

Koç

15,033

5,01

Sabancı

8,780

2,92

Doğan

6,052

2,02

Ülker

5,396

1,8

Turkcell

3,704

1,23

Zorlu

3,580

1,19

Anadolu

2,364

0,79

Eczacıbaşı

2,125

0,71

Ciner

1,605

0,54

Borusan

1,605

0,54

Yaşar

1553

0,52

Boydak

1,251

0,42

Boyner

525

0,17

Bayraktar

392

0,13

Alarko

136

0,05

Total

54,101

17,99

(Dünya, 27.4.2006)

The ten largest banks of Turkey
According to balance sheet assets of 2005 Ziraat Bankasi, Isbank and Akbank were again the largest banks of Turkey :

Rank 2005

Rank 2004

Bank

Total Assests (YTL)

1

1

Ziraat Bankası

65,050,166